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Red54
411015.1
263515.6
644521.4
Blue80
412714.9
367431.1
99725.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5472204060801001205480

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6445
#14
21.40.2
20.420.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.9
End4.4
blue by 9.7
31.10.8
29.530.3
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End7.5
Second
2635
#26
15.60.2
15.816.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End4.1
blue by 9.8
997
#9
25.40.8
25.125.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.6
End6.0
Third
4110
#30
15.10.2
15.415.5
Auto4.4
Teleop9.0
End1.8
red by 0.3
4127
#19
14.90.8
13.614.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed72%HAB Docking oddsEarned