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Red67
546818.6
404330.7
70329.8
Blue59
95513.7
151014.1
381215.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6140020801006759

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.6
31.331.9
Auto5.4
Teleop21.3
End4.0
red by 14.9
3812
#34
15.81.4
13.715.1
Auto5.6
Teleop6.7
End3.6
Second
5468
#16
18.60.6
17.918.5
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 4.5
1510
#35
14.11.4
12.013.4
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
7032
#36
9.80.6
8.49.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End3.1
blue by 4.0
955
#12
13.71.4
12.313.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed