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Red28
24118.2
56810.4
237412.9
Blue41
466214.9
252119.1
289819.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39412530354550552841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#26
12.91.3
13.912.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 6.3
2521
#12
19.10.3
12.212.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.3
End4.6
Second
568
#32
10.40.8
11.410.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.9
End1.8
blue by 8.5
19.00.3
12.012.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End3.4
Third
2411
#34
8.21.3
11.29.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.9
blue by 6.7
4662
#28
14.90.3
14.314.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed