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Red39
157112.9
302415.5
412710.9
Blue39
597013.4
367312.1
669614.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533253040453939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End7.0
red by 1.0
6696
#14
14.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.9
Second
1571
#31
12.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.5
End2.4
blue by 0.4
5970
#29
13.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Third
4127
#30
10.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End2.0
blue by 1.1
3673
#33
12.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsEarned16%HAB Docking oddsMissed