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Red39
142524.7
405110.4
263510.5
Blue40
411015.2
508520.6
15109.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801003940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
18.718.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.7
End8.1
red by 4.1
20.60.1
14.114.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Second
2635
#35
10.50.2
14.214.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.1
End2.3
blue by 4.7
4110
#22
15.20.1
12.913.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End2.4
Third
4051
#36
10.40.1
7.77.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End2.8
red by 1.0
1510
#23
9.40.1
11.711.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed