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Red52
684523.9
319210.0
291518.2
Blue59
289819.0
247118.4
597013.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575120304070805259

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6845
#10
23.90.2
25.225.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
red by 4.9
19.00.8
18.919.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End3.4
Second
2915
#15
18.20.2
18.418.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.0
End3.1
blue by 0.2
18.40.8
17.418.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End7.1
Third
3192
#24
10.00.2
10.710.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End3.4
blue by 3.4
5970
#29
13.40.9
12.413.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned