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Red59
255020.7
367424.6
367312.1
Blue80
508520.6
237412.9
154033.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5568204060801005980

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#13
24.60.6
22.322.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End4.9
blue by 8.6
33.20.6
34.034.7
Auto5.4
Teleop21.0
End6.8
Second
2550
#11
20.70.5
19.720.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End4.7
red by 0.1
20.60.6
19.119.8
Auto3.0
Teleop12.8
End4.8
Third
3673
#33
12.10.5
10.010.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 0.8
2374
#26
12.90.8
11.412.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed77%HAB Docking oddsMissed