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Red30
84717.2
72045.0
469219.2
Blue53
291517.0
99719.6
59776.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3834202530404550553053

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4692
#19
19.20.7
12.011.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.3
End5.5
blue by 0.4
997
#6
19.61.2
14.715.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.2
Second
847
#12
17.20.7
14.113.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End3.5
red by 0.2
2915
#11
17.01.2
11.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End4.3
Third
7204
#37
5.00.7
10.09.3
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End2.5
blue by 1.3
5977
#36
6.21.2
6.67.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed