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Red60
684520.5
363615.6
273319.9
Blue32
519811.1
255014.7
72045.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4532102040506070806032

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6845
#22
20.51.9
17.519.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
red by 5.8
2550
#25
14.70.2
12.012.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Second
19.91.9
14.716.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End6.2
red by 8.8
5198
#23
11.10.2
9.69.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Third
3636
#17
15.61.9
10.812.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End3.2
red by 10.6
7204
#37
5.00.2
8.48.6
Auto1.3
Teleop1.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned27%HAB Docking oddsMissed