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Red26
546811.9
66969.2
70326.0
Blue10
59776.2
9556.3
634316.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24320102040502610

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#24
11.90.4
10.410.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 4.5
6343
#14
16.42.3
15.212.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.5
Second
6696
#16
9.20.4
6.56.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.1
End2.8
red by 2.9
955
#35
6.32.3
8.36.0
Auto2.1
Teleop2.1
End2.1
Third
7032
#26
6.00.4
5.76.0
Auto1.5
Teleop1.2
End3.3
blue by 0.3
5977
#36
6.22.3
7.14.8
Auto1.0
Teleop4.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed