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Red45
99719.6
273319.9
546811.9
Blue35
644323.6
684520.5
412518.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4544354050554535

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.4
13.212.8
Auto2.9
Teleop10.8
End6.2
blue by 3.7
23.61.7
13.111.4
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End8.7
Second
997
#6
19.60.4
15.114.7
Auto5.5
Teleop9.9
End4.2
blue by 0.9
6845
#22
20.51.7
14.112.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End4.6
Third
5468
#24
11.90.4
14.614.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.4
blue by 6.1
4125
#20
18.01.7
14.212.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed