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Red56
154034.1
142518.4
28119.5
Blue25
634316.4
644516.8
519811.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52432030406070805625

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.10.5
15.516.0
Auto5.6
Teleop19.7
End8.9
red by 17.4
6445
#18
16.82.1
14.712.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.7
End2.8
Second
18.40.5
17.618.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.3
End7.7
red by 2.0
6343
#14
16.42.1
14.212.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.4
End2.5
Third
2811
#33
9.50.5
15.816.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End3.3
blue by 1.6
5198
#23
11.12.1
12.210.1
Auto4.1
Teleop4.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed