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Red73
562417.7
70821.5
201622.7
Blue96
540129.7
549012.1
260730.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555902040801001201401607396

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#11
22.70.8
20.521.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End6.2
blue by 7.7
30.41.8
25.727.5
Auto5.5
Teleop17.6
End7.3
Second
708
#12
21.50.8
18.218.9
Auto5.3
Teleop8.7
End7.5
blue by 8.2
5401
#10
29.71.8
20.922.7
Auto5.4
Teleop18.1
End6.2
Third
5624
#22
17.70.8
13.013.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.1
red by 5.6
5490
#25
12.11.8
9.311.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned