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Red57
8712.5
21920.7
164025.1
Blue65
680812.3
139125.3
180732.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54642040801005765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.4
24.624.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.2
End5.5
blue by 7.2
32.30.3
27.127.4
Auto3.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
219
#18
20.70.4
15.115.4
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
blue by 4.6
25.30.3
21.421.7
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End6.9
Third
87
#30
12.50.4
11.912.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End2.6
red by 0.2
6808
#31
12.30.3
11.912.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned