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Red50
415024.1
29113.1
446714.9
Blue71
603223.1
350421.8
11721.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49572040801005071

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#21
24.10.3
21.121.4
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.4
red by 1.0
6032
#15
23.11.4
20.421.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Second
4467
#27
14.90.3
14.815.0
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 6.9
21.81.5
22.123.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End9.1
Third
291
#12
13.10.4
10.811.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
blue by 8.0
117
#10
21.11.9
11.313.2
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned