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Red39
33719.6
454710.3
67714.5
Blue38
414514.9
17437.7
349217.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39380102030506070803938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
337
#16
19.60.1
15.315.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End4.8
red by 1.8
3492
#24
17.80.1
12.512.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Second
677
#43
14.50.1
13.713.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 0.3
4145
#19
14.90.1
13.313.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Third
4547
#40
10.30.1
8.38.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.3
End2.4
red by 2.6
1743
#45
7.70.1
10.09.9
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed