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Red53
6314.9
306216.4
426917.1
Blue49
326017.3
14425.5
581121.8
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396120801005349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4269
#35
17.11.5
14.015.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
blue by 8.5
144
#22
25.50.9
23.322.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End3.8
Second
3062
#39
16.41.8
10.612.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 5.4
5811
#14
21.81.0
19.618.6
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Third
63
#17
14.91.2
11.913.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 2.4
3260
#41
17.31.3
14.613.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed