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Red58
395715.4
402721.7
332432.6
Blue49
320118.3
326017.3
15619.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6549204060801005849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.60.3
28.728.4
Auto3.9
Teleop23.2
End5.5
red by 12.7
156
#37
19.90.2
17.217.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
4027
#26
21.70.3
20.320.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End6.7
red by 3.4
18.30.2
15.816.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Third
3957
#18
15.40.4
12.712.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.5
blue by 2.0
3260
#41
17.30.3
13.313.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
64%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed