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Red62
178721.1
426917.1
408515.8
Blue49
574014.1
499115.1
716520.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4850102030406070806249

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#38
21.11.4
16.617.9
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 0.2
7165
#30
20.80.1
18.718.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
4269
#35
17.11.4
15.516.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
red by 1.9
4991
#34
15.10.2
16.316.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End0.7
Third
4085
#20
15.81.9
13.315.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.6
red by 1.7
5740
#36
14.10.1
12.612.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed