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Red43
404916.5
15619.9
67714.5
Blue59
33719.6
37925.5
426917.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455910203040507080904359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#37
19.90.0
17.417.5
Auto4.7
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 5.5
379
#4
25.50.0
23.523.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End7.2
Second
4049
#32
16.50.1
11.211.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 3.1
337
#16
19.60.0
15.415.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End4.8
Third
677
#43
14.50.0
13.913.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 2.5
4269
#35
17.10.0
16.816.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed