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Red48
326017.3
402721.7
395422.4
Blue72
264118.6
178721.1
349217.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56452040804872

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.6
19.518.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End7.6
red by 1.3
1787
#38
21.12.1
17.920.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Second
4027
#26
21.70.4
20.019.6
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End6.7
red by 3.1
2641
#11
18.63.2
12.615.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.6
Third
3260
#41
17.30.6
13.613.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End2.7
blue by 0.5
3492
#24
17.82.1
12.414.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed