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Red15
178721.1
10218.3
29113.1
Blue29
205319.8
6314.9
404916.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5840020801529

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#38
21.13.5
20.116.6
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End1.9
red by 1.3
19.81.0
13.212.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.7
End6.1
Second
102
#8
18.32.7
19.616.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 1.8
4049
#32
16.51.0
12.011.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Third
291
#12
13.14.4
15.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
blue by 1.8
63
#17
14.90.7
12.611.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed36%HAB Docking oddsEarned