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Red81
67714.5
264118.6
415024.1
Blue30
408515.8
751511.2
405017.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474202060808130

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4150
#21
24.11.8
19.321.1
Auto3.7
Teleop16.1
End4.4
red by 6.9
4050
#42
17.21.0
15.014.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Second
2641
#11
18.62.3
13.515.7
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End5.6
red by 2.8
4085
#20
15.81.0
14.313.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End4.6
Third
677
#43
14.51.8
11.913.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 3.3
7515
#44
11.21.5
10.69.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed