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Red54
603223.1
306216.4
405017.2
Blue57
727419.6
426917.1
320118.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56553040506070805457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6032
#15
23.10.0
21.821.8
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End4.3
red by 3.5
7274
#13
19.60.5
18.318.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Second
4050
#42
17.20.1
16.016.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 1.1
18.30.3
16.917.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.5
End0.9
Third
3062
#39
16.40.1
15.615.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.7
blue by 0.7
4269
#35
17.10.3
16.917.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed