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Red70
395422.4
33719.6
10218.3
Blue56
29113.1
478018.5
402721.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565230406070807056

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.9
19.421.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End7.6
red by 0.7
4027
#26
21.70.5
19.620.0
Auto2.7
Teleop12.3
End6.7
Second
337
#16
19.61.2
15.616.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.8
End4.8
red by 1.1
4780
#23
18.50.8
16.617.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.2
End2.9
Third
102
#8
18.31.2
17.718.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 5.2
291
#12
13.10.8
12.913.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned56%HAB Docking oddsEarned