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Red72
11721.1
14425.5
67714.5
Blue51
727419.6
178721.1
581121.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5862405070807251

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#22
25.51.1
24.425.6
Auto5.5
Teleop16.2
End3.8
red by 3.7
5811
#14
21.80.5
20.219.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.6
End3.0
Second
117
#10
21.11.9
15.917.8
Auto3.8
Teleop11.7
End5.6
red by 0.1
1787
#38
21.10.5
19.619.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End1.9
Third
677
#43
14.51.1
14.715.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 5.1
7274
#13
19.60.9
19.218.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed