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Red56
414514.9
10218.3
350421.8
Blue46
205117.3
426917.1
603223.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6158405070805646

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.1
24.224.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.7
End9.1
blue by 1.4
6032
#15
23.10.6
21.821.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Second
102
#8
18.30.1
18.818.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End4.3
red by 1.0
2051
#28
17.30.6
15.715.1
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End5.1
Third
4145
#19
14.90.1
14.414.3
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End3.1
blue by 2.2
4269
#35
17.10.6
17.516.9
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed