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Red48
205117.3
446714.9
178721.1
Blue68
306216.4
395715.4
395422.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525630406070804868

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#38
21.10.1
19.119.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.3
End1.9
blue by 1.3
22.41.7
22.924.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End7.6
Second
2051
#28
17.30.1
15.115.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End5.1
red by 0.9
3062
#39
16.41.6
15.417.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.7
Third
4467
#27
14.90.1
15.315.2
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 0.5
3957
#18
15.41.7
14.516.2
Auto4.2
Teleop7.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsEarned