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Red58
589524.1
260719.5
31919.7
Blue39
69437.6
568420.4
46529.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48413035455055605839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.3
14.716.0
Auto4.8
Teleop14.1
End5.2
red by 3.7
5684
#16
20.40.0
14.514.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End3.8
Second
319
#13
19.71.3
16.718.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End3.5
red by 10.6
4652
#34
9.10.0
10.710.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End2.3
Third
2607
#15
19.51.3
14.916.2
Auto5.4
Teleop10.1
End4.1
red by 12.0
6943
#32
7.60.0
14.014.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsMissed