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Red47
428513.8
437316.2
540120.9
Blue77
70923.1
223410.5
518122.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434001001502002503004777

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5401
#20
20.90.7
14.415.1
Auto5.4
Teleop12.0
End3.5
blue by 2.2
709
#8
23.12.9
14.517.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.3
End8.0
Second
4373
#21
16.20.7
14.715.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 5.8
22.12.9
12.715.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.5
End5.2
Third
4285
#18
13.80.7
11.312.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 3.3
2234
#24
10.52.9
10.513.4
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned