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Red44
680811.9
622621.7
437316.2
Blue34
392911.8
46529.1
741413.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453720304050604434

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
17.317.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End8.0
red by 7.7
7414
#19
13.90.4
13.813.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Second
4373
#21
16.20.2
15.816.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.3
End2.8
red by 4.5
3929
#31
11.80.4
10.810.4
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End3.0
Third
6808
#29
11.90.2
9.29.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 2.8
4652
#34
9.10.4
10.29.8
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed