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Red49
255915.1
24589.1
568420.4
Blue9
81611.9
223410.5
69437.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38381020253035404550499

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5684
#16
20.41.2
16.317.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End3.8
red by 8.6
816
#30
11.92.6
12.29.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.4
End3.8
Second
2559
#17
15.11.2
12.613.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 4.7
2234
#24
10.52.8
12.810.0
Auto1.6
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
2458
#27
9.11.2
7.38.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End2.1
red by 1.5
6943
#32
7.62.6
10.98.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsMissed