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Red50
434224.4
397418.3
218017.6
Blue71
201620.5
121822.6
48616.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64613040507080901005071

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.2
24.724.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End8.5
red by 1.8
22.60.1
22.122.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End6.4
Second
18.30.2
18.518.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End8.7
blue by 2.2
2016
#13
20.50.1
20.020.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Third
2180
#26
17.60.2
17.817.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End3.5
red by 1.1
486
#27
16.50.1
16.016.0
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.3