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Red48
216830.3
787710.9
75996.4
Blue63
434224.4
70818.2
43320.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50612030407080904863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.1
28.228.0
Auto5.4
Teleop19.4
End5.5
red by 5.8
24.40.3
22.622.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End8.5
Second
7877
#29
10.90.2
11.110.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 9.3
433
#10
20.10.4
19.319.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Third
7599
#31
6.40.2
7.87.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 11.7
708
#8
18.20.3
15.816.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed80%HAB Docking oddsEarned