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Red74
223412.8
22520.8
149518.7
Blue51
463713.8
116816.9
29315.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52442030406070807451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#16
20.82.1
22.124.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.3
red by 3.9
1168
#25
16.90.6
16.116.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.0
End1.6
Second
1495
#20
18.71.2
15.516.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1
red by 3.6
293
#11
15.10.6
12.813.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
Third
2234
#28
12.81.2
12.013.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End4.5
blue by 1.0
4637
#23
13.81.0
13.214.2
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned46%HAB Docking oddsMissed