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Red42
209515.0
201620.5
787710.9
Blue58
22520.8
741417.2
437315.3
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36520204060804258

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#13
20.50.1
13.113.0
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.2
blue by 0.3
225
#16
20.81.0
18.819.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.4
End4.3
Second
2095
#14
15.00.1
10.610.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
blue by 2.2
7414
#21
17.20.6
13.914.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
7877
#29
10.90.3
9.710.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.5
End2.8
blue by 4.4
4373
#24
15.30.6
16.216.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed