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Red39
75996.4
518123.0
48616.5
Blue77
70818.2
253926.5
218017.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4954203040607080903977

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5181
#17
23.00.5
22.121.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.1
End6.5
blue by 3.5
26.51.5
22.123.6
Auto3.8
Teleop14.5
End8.1
Second
486
#27
16.50.5
14.213.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End6.3
blue by 1.7
708
#8
18.21.3
13.815.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End6.1
Third
7599
#31
6.43.0
12.39.3
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
blue by 11.1
2180
#26
17.61.3
15.416.7
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned