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Red56
29315.1
540428.5
74721.4
Blue60
43320.1
31619.3
397418.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53582040801005660

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.4
23.724.1
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End9.0
red by 8.4
433
#10
20.10.1
19.519.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.6
End7.2
Second
747
#5
21.40.7
15.616.3
Auto4.7
Teleop10.1
End6.6
red by 2.1
316
#18
19.30.1
17.417.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
293
#11
15.10.4
10.711.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.6
End3.8
blue by 3.2
18.30.1
18.118.3
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsEarned