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Red81
540428.5
216830.3
741417.2
Blue23
7529.9
463713.8
75996.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77332040601008123

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.6
29.530.1
Auto5.4
Teleop19.4
End5.5
red by 16.4
4637
#23
13.80.8
15.314.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End3.4
Second
28.50.6
27.628.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End9.0
red by 18.6
752
#30
9.90.8
9.99.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Third
7414
#21
17.20.6
15.315.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End3.7
red by 10.8
7599
#31
6.40.8
5.95.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
93%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed