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Red85
201620.5
121822.6
434224.4
Blue62
32120.3
218017.6
209515.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595230407080908562

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.41.5
22.724.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End8.5
red by 4.2
321
#22
20.31.3
19.520.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Second
22.61.5
18.219.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End6.4
red by 5.1
2180
#26
17.60.9
16.117.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.6
End3.5
Third
2016
#13
20.51.5
15.116.6
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 5.5
2095
#14
15.00.9
13.114.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
68%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsEarned