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Red69
151123.6
415025.7
205112.5
Blue53
11719.8
426915.6
446714.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65542040801001206953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
25.525.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.6
End4.3
red by 6.0
117
#12
19.80.0
20.320.3
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End3.9
Second
1511
#11
23.60.2
23.423.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 7.9
15.60.0
16.116.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
2051
#22
12.50.2
12.312.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End3.5
blue by 2.0
4467
#15
14.50.0
15.015.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0