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Red37
446714.5
103816.9
99886.9
Blue43
99856.8
574014.3
265614.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060803743

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.90.7
17.616.9
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.8
red by 2.2
14.70.2
14.114.3
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End2.3
Second
4467
#15
14.50.7
13.312.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End2.0
red by 0.2
5740
#13
14.30.2
16.817.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End4.3
Third
9988
#16
6.91.2
11.19.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End2.0
red by 0.1
9985
#17
6.80.3
8.79.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed