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Red49
402726.1
415025.7
99893.8
Blue42
205112.5
151123.6
326016.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5655405060704942

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.2
24.524.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
red by 2.5
1511
#11
23.60.7
22.922.1
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End4.8
Second
25.70.2
23.122.8
Auto3.8
Teleop17.6
End4.3
red by 9.6
3260
#10
16.10.7
16.615.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
9989
#14
3.80.4
4.74.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
blue by 8.7
2051
#22
12.50.7
13.412.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed