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Red18
265614.7
99874.7
205112.5
Blue46
99893.8
412114.7
151123.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384701001501846

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.71.2
15.013.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 8.8
1511
#11
23.60.1
22.822.9
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End4.8
Second
2051
#22
12.51.2
15.514.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End3.5
blue by 2.2
14.70.1
16.116.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.7
Third
9987
#21
4.72.0
5.43.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.3
End1.1
red by 0.9
9989
#14
3.80.1
6.16.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed