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Red84
151123.6
415025.7
205112.5
Blue52
301525.1
350421.4
99893.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645302040801008452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.3
25.225.5
Auto3.8
Teleop17.6
End4.3
red by 0.6
25.10.0
25.125.1
Auto3.6
Teleop14.0
End7.5
Second
1511
#11
23.60.3
23.123.4
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 2.2
21.40.0
21.521.4
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End10.1
Third
2051
#22
12.50.3
12.012.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End3.5
red by 8.7
9989
#14
3.80.0
3.83.8
Auto2.5
Teleop0.4
End0.9