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Red79
151123.6
415025.7
205112.5
Blue56
103816.9
412114.7
326016.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60512040801007956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.5
24.224.7
Auto3.8
Teleop17.6
End4.3
red by 8.8
16.90.2
17.217.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Second
1511
#11
23.60.5
22.022.5
Auto3.4
Teleop15.3
End4.8
red by 7.5
3260
#10
16.10.2
16.316.5
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Third
2051
#22
12.50.5
10.911.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.7
End3.5
blue by 2.2
14.70.2
14.915.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End3.7