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Red71
542022.6
540423.7
45759.8
Blue57
445413.7
511319.4
48614.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595030407080907157

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.3
23.724.0
Auto5.8
Teleop9.8
End8.1
red by 4.3
19.40.1
19.519.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Second
22.60.3
22.622.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End6.0
red by 8.4
486
#28
14.20.1
14.314.4
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Third
4575
#23
9.80.4
9.810.1
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
blue by 3.9
4454
#13
13.70.1
13.813.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8