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Red39
34112.5
48415.2
511319.4
Blue26
218015.4
45759.8
17917.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37362025304045503926

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.4
11.311.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End4.1
red by 4.0
2180
#11
15.40.9
13.012.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Second
484
#8
15.20.4
13.213.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1
red by 5.4
4575
#23
9.80.9
12.411.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End1.4
Third
341
#25
12.50.4
10.611.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End0.3
red by 5.3
1791
#30
7.30.9
8.37.4
Auto1.0
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed