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Red41
139121.4
31515.9
43318.8
Blue40
149516.7
219111.5
48614.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060801001201401604140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.40.3
17.016.8
Auto3.2
Teleop11.2
End7.0
red by 4.7
1495
#10
16.70.1
13.713.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.9
End2.7
Second
433
#4
18.80.4
18.818.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
red by 4.6
486
#28
14.20.1
13.413.5
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
Third
3151
#26
5.90.4
9.18.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.6
End1.8
blue by 5.6
2191
#29
11.50.1
11.811.9
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed41%HAB Docking oddsMissed