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Red35
48614.2
475010.6
48415.2
Blue54
43318.8
445413.7
171218.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424335404550553554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#8
15.20.5
13.913.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End4.1
blue by 3.6
433
#4
18.81.4
17.218.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.2
End7.0
Second
486
#28
14.20.5
12.812.3
Auto5.3
Teleop3.6
End5.3
blue by 3.9
1712
#16
18.11.4
11.112.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.6
End2.0
Third
4750
#31
10.60.5
12.712.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.4
End2.4
blue by 3.1
4454
#13
13.70.9
12.913.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed40%HAB Docking oddsMissed